120 thousand fewer students and goodbye to chicken coop classes

It definitely speeds up the Population decline in the Italy, where families are having fewer and fewer children. In fact, next September, in the School classes there will be 120 thousand fewer students, compared to today, and it’s a growing phenomenon. A phenomenon that is probably the only positive thing that helps the classrooms: If there are fewer pupils under the desks, then there should be fewer and fewer chicken coop courses in the institutions. As a result, the 30 high school classrooms, to which families have been accustomed for years, are slowly disappearing.

They have to reduce, because there are currently no reductions in employment, ie with the same number of Teachers there will be fewer students in the classroom. And the decline will continue for years to come. Suffice it to say that in 2021 Istat recorded the negative record of births: less than 400 thousand. So in the next decade, this reduction will inevitably come into the classroom: When children enter public school, they will have to deal with these absences. But in reality, it has already happened. This is noticeable in the high schools and gradually also in the primary schools.

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And in September, it will be very obvious: the Ministry of Education announced in a meeting with the labor unions next September that there will be 120,000 fewer students under the desk. Calculate an average of 20-25 students per classroom, which is 4,800 classes less in Italy. From the vial trastevere, they made sure that all the teachers stayed in the classroom: there are about 8,740 available to prevent the formation of the much hated chicken coop classes. How? It is likely that additional teachers will have to relocate without, of course, losing their jobs, and those transfers will also have an impact on the mobility requirements of teachers wishing to return to their region of origin: there will be fewer transfer places available. The 8,740 teachers will go to learn where they are needed. That is, where it is necessary to create a new class to avoid a “chicken coop”, that is, one with overcrowded children.

ORGANIC

The Minister Bianchi, Since the beginning of his term, he has been paying close attention to overcoming the congested classes, which he also associates with the alarm about the demographic decline. The relationship between the number of teachers and the number of students needs to be re-balanced. As a first reaction to the demographic decline, this year there is the maintenance of the workforce: from September, in fact, in the formation of the new classes it will be possible to exceed the provisions of Presidential Decree 81 of 2009, which regulates. the number of students per class. The schools can therefore also form groups with less than 26 pupils in the playschools and primary schools and with less than 27 in the middle and high school groups. Emphasis will be placed on facilitating classes in the most difficult areas, where it is the highest percentage of early exit among older students and among the younger ones the greatest implicit dispersion is thus associated with the decline in teaching staff. It is understood, however, until it is possible to count on thousands of additional teachers arising from year to year.

ESTIMATES

If the number of pupils decreases by 120 thousand in September, the quota will increase dramatically in the coming years. According to estimates, the decline in 2030 will reach 500 thousand fewer children. This means that 25 thousand fewer classes will be formed, with 20 students. And by 2036, PNRR estimates there will be a shortage of 1.1 million students, compared to 7.4 million enrolled today. It means that without prejudice to the current school system, there will be 55 thousand classes that will disappear year after year for the next 14 years. That means about 64,000 teachers will be laid off. If the government retains the idea of ​​not affecting the number of teachers, it is possible to abolish too many classes, which are mainly present in the high school, completely or almost completely, and at the same time it is possible to abolish full-time bring. in the primary schools in the south where it is enrolled.the greater shortage of classes with long hours.

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